[State of AI Startups] Memory/Learning, RL Envs & DBT-Fivetran — Sarah Catanzaro, Amplify
Dec 30, 2025 · 28:43
Sarah Catanzaro of Amplify Partners argues that the DBT-Fivetran merger was not the death of the modern data stack but a path to IPO targeting $600M+ combined revenue, that data catalogs failed because they were built for humans rather than machines, and that RL environments are a fad. She notes that frontier labs use dbt and Fivetran for training data curation and agent analytics, and criticizes $100M+ seed rounds raised without near-term roadmaps. For 2026, she identifies personalization via memory and continual learning as the key retention unlock, observing that AI founders are unfamiliar with growth concepts like k-factor. She prefers real-world logs over synthetic RL environments, citing Cursor's use of user activity, and says the most exciting startups combine hard research problems (RAG, rule-following, continual learning) with applications that were previously impossible.
