AlphaProof

Scaling Past Informal AI - Carina Hong, Axiom Math

Jun 3, 2026 · 1:33:04

Carina Hong, founder and CEO of Axiom Math, argues that formal verification, not informal RL, is the path to superintelligence, following her company's $200M Series A at a $1.6B valuation and a perfect 120/120 on the 2024 Putnam exam. Axiom's system uses Lean theorem prover data and reinforcement learning to produce verified proofs, achieving a 99% pass rate on the Verina code-with-proof benchmark (187 of 189 problems). Hong contends verification is about 'scaling brilliance' — not fixing hallucinations — and that only verified generation can compound AI reasoning. She explains Axiom's open-source Axle API for Lean at scale, addresses why frontier labs like OpenAI have deprioritized formal math (team departures, strategy shifts), and outlines a vision where verified reasoning transfers from math to code, hardware, and eventually AGI through self-improvement. She also discusses the Earth sciences challenge of autoformalization, the difficulty of search in mathematical literature (citing the Erdos controversy), and why fragmentation in the AI math field is a bottleneck.

The AI Frontier: from Gemini 3 Deep Think distilling to Flash — Jeff Dean

Feb 12, 2026 · 1:23:31

Jeff Dean, Google's Chief AI Scientist, explains how the company's dual strategy of frontier "Pro" models and distilled "Flash" models, alongside co-designed TPUs and latency-optimization, keeps Gemini at the Pareto frontier. Distillation compresses high-capability large models into smaller, efficient ones, enabling Flash models to exceed earlier Pro generations. He emphasizes energy-based thinking: data movement costs thousands more picojoules than arithmetic, making batching and speculative decoding essential. TPU development requires predicting ML workloads 2–6 years out, often speculatively adding hardware features. Gemini was born after Dean wrote a one-page memo arguing that fragmented model efforts across Google Brain and DeepMind should merge into a single unified multimodal effort. Looking ahead, he predicts personalized models attending to all user data and reasoning speeds of 10,000 tokens/second will transform software engineering.

Captaining IMO Gold, Deep Think, On-Policy RL, Feeling the AGI in Singapore — Yi Tay

Jan 23, 2026 · 1:32:05

Yi Tay, who leads Google DeepMind's Reasoning and AGI team in Singapore, explains how Gemini Deep Think achieved IMO Gold by abandoning symbolic AlphaProof for an end-to-end RL-trained model. He details the on-policy RL philosophy—models learn from their own generated outputs rather than imitating others—and the critical role of self-consistency through parallel sampling and internal verification. Tay describes the IMO effort: four co-captains in different time zones, a one-week training sprint, a live competition in Australia where researchers punched in problems as they were released, and the tension of waiting for human scores to determine the gold threshold. He discusses why the team believes one model must subsume everything for AGI, the data efficiency gap compared to humans, and his hiring focus on raw talent and research taste. Tay also shares his personal fitness transformation—losing 23 kilos and improving HRV—as integral to research productivity.