FPV Drones -The Next War Is Already Here — Yaroslav Azhnyuk, The Fourth Law & Noah Smith, Noahpinion
May 18, 2026 · 1:59:29
Yaroslav Azhnyuk (The Fourth Law) and Noah Smith explain how FPV drones now cause 70-80% of frontline casualties, dethroning artillery as the 'god of war.' Azhnyuk's firms produce thermal cameras, autonomy modules, and interceptors; level-one autonomy (terminal guidance) raised one brigade's mission success from 20% to 71% and extended the kill zone from 3 to 10 km. Fiber optic drones resist EW but cost $32/km and limit payload; AI autonomy removes the radio horizon problem. He warns China could build 4 billion FPV drones versus Ukraine's 4 million, and that the West lacks mass manufacturing, rare earth refining, and autonomy tech. Azhnyuk calls for a shift from costly platforms to cheap, software-defined drones, and for learning from Ukraine's battlefield experience.
