SF Compute: Commoditizing Compute
Apr 11, 2025 · 1:12:02
Evan Conrad, co-founder of SF Compute, argues that GPUs behave like a real estate business, not a traditional cloud, because price-sensitive customers value every incremental GPU and will switch for a 10% margin. CoreWeave succeeded by selling locked-in long-term contracts to low-credit-risk customers like Microsoft and OpenAI, ignoring short-term demand. He predicts hyperscalers and providers like Together and DigitalOcean will lose money on GPU clusters because software margins cannot match the hardware costs. SF Compute started as an AI lab forced to sublease its cluster monthly to avoid bankruptcy, then evolved into a market where anyone can buy H100s by the hour via dynamic pricing—often below $1/hour for short bursts. Utilization stays near 100% as prices adjust. Future plans include cash-settled futures to reduce financial risk across the industry, while the brand deliberately stays anti-hype and calm.
